Commercial reproduction, distribution or transmission of any part or parts of this website or any information contained therein by any means whatsoever without the prior written permission of the Club is not permitted. 7 seed in the AFC.ĪLL HAIL THE COIN 🪙🙏🏽 #NewProfilePic website is the only official website of the New England Patriots and is © Copyright New England Patriots (the "Club"). “ I am not responsible for any gambling losses incurred from the Coin’s predictions,” he wrote, followed by “Edit: I’m noticing the sentiment around these posts are a lot different following a win compared to that following a loss.”įor the record, as seen on the piece of paper, the coin - I AM SORRY MY MASTER, I MEAN “THE COIN” - predicts a 10-7 finish for the Raiders, good for the No. Meanwhile, over at Reddit, some people were a little taken aback by the voodoo, causing pongislame to address the ruckus. It is not always easy to decide what is heads and tails on a given coin. Oakland Raiders Nike Coin Flip Tri-Blend T-Shirt - Heathered GrayBlack on sale for Cheap,Discount price really Authentic quality,wholesale from China,online. The randomness comes from atmospheric noise, which for many purposes is better than the pseudo-random number algorithms typically used in computer programs. “When I checked two weeks ago, my simulation had gotten 27/32 teams’ records within two games of what they actually were, but the number of exact games correct was more normally distributed,” he noted. This form allows you to flip virtual coins. Perhaps not overly scientific, but definitely successful, somehow.Īnd while the Raiders games have been an obvious outlier, pongislame notes the weighted coin method has been spookily accurate for the entirety of the NFL.
In order to somewhat simulate how teams would improve or otherwise over the season I either added or removed a half point to the odds for every upset win or loss.” Then I did the grunt work to see what would happen. “I found three websites, one which listed odds for every game for every team after the preseason was over, another website which converted those odds to percentages, and a third which allowed you to flip a coin based on those percentages. “So the concept of using a weighted coin to predict the outcome of the NFL season just popped into my head one day when I was sitting at home,” pongislame said. “Maybe the Cowboys game will be a good opportunity.” Method, man “I personally haven’t bet any money on it, although looking back on the results I probably should have,” he told US Bets in an email. Sadly, pongislame has failed to capitalize on The Coin’s prowess. But …īut: But if that $100 was bet on that first game against the Ravens - for a total payout of $247 - and then rolled into the next week, and so on and so forth, that lucky bettor who followed The Coin would currently be sitting with a total haul of $185,764.30, all of it profit sans the original $100 bet.įor what it’s worth, the Raiders are currently +270 dogs at BetMGM on Thanksgiving against the Cowboys, meaning if they win in Dallas and our fictional bettor let it ride … well, a Raiders victory would have this fictional nest egg at $687,327.91. If someone decided to wager $100 on the moneyline for each game thus far, that someone would show a profit of $1,186 (and two cents). Let the record show the coin - maybe we should start calling it The Coin? - predicts a Raiders victory on Turkey Day. #PMSOverreactionMonday is this Raider fan from the future? This man has flipped a coin and is 10-0 in all his picks /4S5CfTXi9V In short: The person known as pongislame and that trusty weighted coin are 10 for 10 so far this year, headed into Thanksgiving’s tilt against the Cowboys. The coin then predicted wins over the Broncos (Raiders were +175 dogs) and the Eagles (-113), before correctly nailing the current three-game losing streak, where the Raiders have dropped games to the Giants (who were +127 dogs), the Chiefs (-148), and the Bengals (-128). Weeks 4 and 5, the coin predicted losses to the Chargers (who were -170 favorites) and Bears (+202 underdogs).Ī guy on Reddit flipped a coin to see our record. The first two games - victories over the Ravens and Steelers (moneyline odds were +147 and +187, respectively) - were marked as wins.Īnd then the third game - which hadn’t happened yet - was a predicted win over the Dolphins at -180 odds.Īnd on it went.
So far accurate through two upset wins.”Īnd with the attached pic came the Raiders’ 2021 schedule. The title of the post was as follows: “During the off-season I simulated the NFL season by flipping a weighted coin based on game odds. Before Week 3 of the NFL season, a 25-year-old Las Vegas Raiders fan who goes by “pongislame” on Reddit posted a picture of a piece of notebook paper on the r/raiders thread.
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